It’s hard to believe that the 2016 college football season is almost halfway over. But luckily for us there is still plenty of games to be played and bowl games as well. There are a lot of interesting games this week and some point spreads look better than others. Let’s get to it.
Vanderbilt +3 at Kentucky
Both coaches are on the hot seat tomorrow in Lexington when Vanderbilt goes to Kentucky. The Wildcats beat South Carolina at home two weeks ago but got torched by Alabama last week. Vandy played well last week on defense against Florida but their offense can’t get anything going. Luckily for Derek Mason and his squad UK isn’t very good on offense either. There won’t be a lot of points scored in this game due to both team’s having decent defenses. I think in a game where there aren’t going to be a lot of points scored like this one it’s always smart to take the team getting points. If Vandy can get Ralph Webb going and not have to play from behind with their benign passing attack the Commodores win this one outright or at least cover the field goal.
Vandy +3 is the play.
Auburn -2.5 at Mississippi State
It’s not easy to win in Starkville. Those damn cowbells will drive you crazy and the Bulldogs have been good at home historically. The problem is that without Dak Prescott under center Mississippi State hasn’t been very good. This year they are 1-1 at home with a shocking loss to Southern Alabama and a win against a bad South Carolina team. On the road they lost to LSU and barely beat UMass. Gus Malzahn is coaching for his job tomorrow and can’t afford a loss to the Bulldogs since he already had two losses this year. Auburn will have too much on defense for Mississippi State’s offense. Montravius Adams and the Tiger defensive front has been good all year and gave Clemson fits in the first week. Take Auburn minus the points. You will be glad you did.
Auburn -2.5 is the play.
Tennessee +7 at Texas A&M
The Vols are riding high after two come from behind wins in their last two games. They bum-rushed Florida in the second half at home then beat UGA on the road on a last second hail mary. Now everyone is comparing UT to the Auburn team in 2013 that won games late that they shouldn’t have. I’m not sure Tennessee is a team of destiny but I do expect them to keep it close with the Aggies at College Station. The A&M defense has been dominant all year and I think this will be a low scoring game where points are at a premium. Like the Kentucky-Vandy game I think it’s best to take the team getting points when two good defenses are dictating the pace of the game. I think Texas A&M wins by a field goal or so but UT covers.
UT +7 is the play.
Alabama -13.5 at Arkansas
Arkansas is a tricky team to handicap. They barely beat Louisiana Tech in week one then beat TCU on the road the following week. We saw the Razorbacks struggle against the Aggies potent offense two weeks ago and I think that’s how the game against Bama will go. Alabama has too much on offense and defense to keep this one close. Arkansas’ offensive line and running backs aren’t as good as last year and I think the Bama defensive front has their way with Bielema’s O-line. Take Bama and the points.
Bama -13.5 is the play.
Texas +11.5 vs Oklahoma